How they were assessed
Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.
✓D-193 resolved, clustered n_eff 17.0
✓D-2last entry 0.3d ago
✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 49d old
✓D-4top gain is 15.2% of gross gains
✓D-586 markets, 65 events, biggest 13.8% of stake
✓D-5b93 resolved positions (cap 1000)
✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED
✓D-70.1% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
✓D-8median stake $109, $21347 deployed in 365d
✓D-9ROI 18.4% vs 5.0% floor; 6.9% since listing
✕D-10dead positions net $-3485 against $8105 gross gains
✓D-1139.2% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume
$359BUY Yes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
5h agoEntry: 79.1¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$148BUY Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
13h agoEntry: 64.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$348BUY No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
19h agoEntry: 74.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$22BUY No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
19h agoEntry: 74.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$1.0KSELL No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
1d agoEntry: 50.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$108BUY Yes
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
1d agoEntry: 38.1¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$156BUY Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
2d agoEntry: 82.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$215BUY Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
2d agoEntry: 82.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$41BUY Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
2d agoEntry: 82.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$332SELL Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
2d agoEntry: 65.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$510BUY No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3d agoEntry: 51.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$150BUY No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3d agoEntry: 51.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$430BUY No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3d agoEntry: 57.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$109BUY No
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
3d agoEntry: 4.8¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$334SELL Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3d agoEntry: 42.3¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$75SELL Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
3d agoEntry: 11.7¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$310BUY Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
3d agoEntry: 60.8¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$669SELL Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
3d agoEntry: 95.5¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$348BUY Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3d agoEntry: 44.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades
$77SELL Yes
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?
3d agoEntry: 92.0¢
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeWR: 42%ROI: +18%396 trades