BwTrump

UnclassifiedModerateActive 3d ago

No dominant pattern.

ROI on money risked

+26%

Record

28W / 84L

Win rate vs break-even

25%-14%

Volume

$316.1K

Since we listed them

-30%

Category

OTHER

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1112 resolved, clustered n_eff 17.8

✓D-2last entry 0.4d ago

✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 71d old

✓D-4top gain is 17.2% of gross gains

✓D-5106 markets, 63 events, biggest 6.6% of stake

✓D-5b112 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $1350, $319070 deployed in 365d

✕D-9ROI 25.9% vs 5.0% floor; -30.0% since listing

✓D-10dead positions net $-5420 against $159335 gross gains

✓D-1117.4% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$1.4KSELL No

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

1d agoEntry: 39.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0SELL No

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

1d agoEntry: 0.1¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2REWARD

2d agoEntry: 0.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

$1.8KBUY No

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

2d agoEntry: 50.9¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.0KSELL Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 37.3¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$354SELL Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 37.9¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$474SELL Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 38.1¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$85SELL No

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

2d agoEntry: 0.5¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$582SELL Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 35.1¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$191BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 30.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$6BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 40.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$394BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 40.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$450BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

2d agoEntry: 45.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$514BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 52.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$6BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 52.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.1KBUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 56.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$6BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 56.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 56.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 56.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$560BUY Yes

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

3d agoEntry: 56.0¢

BwTrumpWR: 25%ROI: +26%2217 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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