etar
Longshot hunterModerateActive today
Buys unlikely outcomes. Low win rate, lumpy returns.
ROI on money risked
+12%
Record
63W / 62L
Win rate vs break-even
50%+29%
Volume
$51.8K
Since we listed them
–
Category
OTHERHow they were assessed
Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.
✓D-1125 resolved, clustered n_eff 26.6
✓D-2last entry 0.1d ago
✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 88d old
✓D-4top gain is 29.3% of gross gains
✓D-5122 markets, 103 events, biggest 11.7% of stake
✓D-5b125 resolved positions (cap 1000)
✓D-6classified LONGSHOT_HUNTER
✓D-70.2% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
✓D-8median stake $160, $35390 deployed in 365d
✓D-9ROI 11.5% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet
✓D-10dead positions net $-1577 against $11523 gross gains
✓D-1149.3% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume
Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.
Recent Trades
No trades recorded yet.
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