shinyandrew

SharpModerateActive today

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+73%

Record

90W / 232L

Win rate vs break-even

28%-4%

Volume

$26.6K

Since we listed them

–

Category

POLITICS

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1322 resolved, clustered n_eff 28.6

✓D-2last entry 0.7d ago

✓D-381.2% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 453d old

✓D-4top gain is 18.4% of gross gains

✓D-5322 markets, 162 events, biggest 3.5% of stake

✓D-5b322 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $100, $42321 deployed in 365d

✓D-9ROI 72.7% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet

✓D-10dead positions net $-442 against $79346 gross gains

✓D-1127.3% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$0BUY Yes

Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?

19h agoEntry: 0.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0BUY Yes

Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?

19h agoEntry: 0.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0BUY Yes

Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?

19h agoEntry: 0.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0BUY Yes

Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?

19h agoEntry: 0.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$91BUY No

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

1d agoEntry: 2.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$119BUY No

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

1d agoEntry: 2.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0BUY Yes

Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?

1d agoEntry: 0.2¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0BUY Yes

Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?

1d agoEntry: 0.3¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$148BUY Yes

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?

1d agoEntry: 14.8¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$375SELL No

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?

2d agoEntry: 74.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2SELL No

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?

2d agoEntry: 74.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1SELL No

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?

2d agoEntry: 74.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$150BUY Yes

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

3d agoEntry: 15.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$88BUY No

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

3d agoEntry: 16.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$11BUY No

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

3d agoEntry: 16.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$140BUY No

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

3d agoEntry: 16.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0BUY Yes

Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?

3d agoEntry: 10.1¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$11BUY Yes

Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?

3d agoEntry: 10.1¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$589REDEEM

Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1MAKER_REBATE

5d agoEntry: 0.0¢

shinyandrewWR: 28%ROI: +73%2573 trades

Get an alert when this trader bets big

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