QuietRiskisWrong

SharpModerateActive today

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+13%

Record

259W / 86L

Win rate vs break-even

75%-3%

Volume

$5179.2K

Since we listed them

+9%

Category

OTHER

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1345 resolved, clustered n_eff 25.6

✓D-2last entry 0.1d ago

✓D-3121.3% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 154d old

✓D-4top gain is 27.6% of gross gains

✓D-5333 markets, 171 events, biggest 4.7% of stake

✓D-5b345 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $3300, $4092506 deployed in 365d

✓D-9ROI 12.6% vs 5.0% floor; 8.6% since listing

✓D-10dead positions net $-230275 against $923108 gross gains

✓D-1133.8% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$11.0KSELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

2h agoEntry: 99.8¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$24SELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

3h agoEntry: 99.8¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$251SELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

5h agoEntry: 99.8¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$26SELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

5h agoEntry: 99.8¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2SELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

6h agoEntry: 99.8¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$10.0KBUY No

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

6h agoEntry: 85.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$10.0KSELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

6h agoEntry: 99.7¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$10.0KBUY No

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

8h agoEntry: 84.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.7KBUY Yes

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

8h agoEntry: 26.1¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$11.7KREDEEM

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

8h agoEntry: 0.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$492BUY Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

8h agoEntry: 88.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.5KBUY No

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

8h agoEntry: 83.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3.0KSELL Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

8h agoEntry: 99.9¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.1KBUY Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h agoEntry: 96.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.3KBUY Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h agoEntry: 95.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$201BUY Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h agoEntry: 95.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$201BUY Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h agoEntry: 95.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$201BUY Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h agoEntry: 95.0¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4.0KSELL Yes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

9h agoEntry: 99.8¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3.0KBUY Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h agoEntry: 94.6¢

QuietRiskisWrongWR: 75%ROI: +13%5112 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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