pferdah

SharpModerateActive 2d ago

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+38%

Record

38W / 23L

Win rate vs break-even

62%+13%

Volume

$62.2K

Since we listed them

–

Category

SPORTS

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-161 resolved, clustered n_eff 19.3

✓D-2last entry 0.8d ago

✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 2d old

✓D-4top gain is 14.2% of gross gains

✓D-559 markets, 41 events, biggest 9.3% of stake

✓D-5b61 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $383, $42658 deployed in 365d

✓D-9ROI 37.9% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet

✓D-10dead positions net $-3211 against $22587 gross gains

✓D-1122.2% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$5.7KSELL No

Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

2d agoEntry: 99.9¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$20SELL No

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?

2d agoEntry: 15.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$90SELL No

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?

2d agoEntry: 15.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3SELL No

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?

2d agoEntry: 15.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$7SELL No

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?

2d agoEntry: 7.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1SELL No

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?

2d agoEntry: 0.2¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$211BUY NRG

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 74.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$40BUY NRG

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 74.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$27BUY NRG

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4BUY NRG

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$51BUY NRG

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$665BUY NRG

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$70SELL SELL

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: mellren vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 7.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

$3BUY No

Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?

3d agoEntry: 7.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.0KREDEEM

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3.0KSELL Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?

3d agoEntry: 99.9¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3BUY Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?

3d agoEntry: 60.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3BUY Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?

3d agoEntry: 60.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3BUY Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?

3d agoEntry: 60.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4BUY Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?

3d agoEntry: 60.0¢

pferdahWR: 62%ROI: +38%688 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

Get an alert when this trader bets big

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