hot2trot

WhaleModerateActive 16d ago

Large enough to move the markets it trades. Your fill will be worse.

ROI on money risked

+34%

Record

37W / 23L

Win rate vs break-even

62%+11%

Volume

$6667.8K

Since we listed them

–

Category

OTHER

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-160 resolved, clustered n_eff 23.7

✓D-2last entry 14.6d ago

✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 32d old

✓D-4top gain is 15.8% of gross gains

✓D-558 markets, 49 events, biggest 10.0% of stake

✓D-5b60 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified WHALE

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $61250, $6519295 deployed in 365d

✓D-9ROI 34.4% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet

✕D-10dead positions net $-1780313 against $4299454 gross gains

✓D-110.0% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$4YIELD

15d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

$550.0KREDEEM

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.5KMAKER_REBATE

Unknown

16d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

$1REWARD

16d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

$18YIELD

16d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

$279REWARD

16d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

$132.5KREDEEM

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

16d agoEntry: 0.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$173.3KBUY Yes

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16d agoEntry: 57.9¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$29BUY Yes

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16d agoEntry: 57.9¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$13BUY Yes

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16d agoEntry: 57.9¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$356BUY Yes

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16d agoEntry: 57.9¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4.7KBUY Over

Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

16d agoEntry: 58.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$63.2KBUY Yes

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

16d agoEntry: 42.5¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4BUY Yes

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

16d agoEntry: 42.5¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$7BUY Yes

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

16d agoEntry: 42.5¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$64.3KBUY Yes

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

16d agoEntry: 42.5¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY Yes

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

16d agoEntry: 42.5¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$57.0KBUY Under

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

16d agoEntry: 57.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY Under

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

16d agoEntry: 46.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4BUY Under

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

16d agoEntry: 46.0¢

hot2trotWR: 62%ROI: +34%8128 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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