antoinelegwr

Favourite buyerModerateActive 3d ago

Buys likely outcomes. High win rate, thin margins.

ROI on money risked

+3%

Record

233W / 97L

Win rate vs break-even

71%-16%

Volume

$1140.1K

Since we listed them

+1%

Category

OTHER

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

D-1330 resolved, clustered n_eff 34.2
D-2last entry 0.0d ago
D-3103.6% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 177d old
D-4top gain is 9.1% of gross gains
D-5318 markets, 163 events, biggest 4.1% of stake
D-5b330 resolved positions (cap 1000)
D-6classified FAVOURITE_BUYER
D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
D-8median stake $1290, $1403173 deployed in 365d
D-9ROI 2.6% vs 5.0% floor; 1.1% since listing
D-10dead positions net $-3262 against $116875 gross gains
D-1121.1% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$344BUY No

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?

1h agoEntry: 68.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$0REDEEM

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

2h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$56REDEEM

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

2h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$26BUY Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

2h agoEntry: 45.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$285BUY No

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

2h agoEntry: 81.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$54BUY No

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

2h agoEntry: 75.4¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$7YIELD

6h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$7.0KREDEEM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

8h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$435BUY Yes

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

12h agoEntry: 87.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$16.8KREDEEM

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

13h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$0REDEEM

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

13h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$43REDEEM

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

13h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$26BUY Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

13h agoEntry: 58.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$26BUY Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

13h agoEntry: 35.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$13.9KREDEEM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

15h agoEntry: 0.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$41SELL No

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

23h agoEntry: 52.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$3SELL No

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

23h agoEntry: 52.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$3SELL No

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

23h agoEntry: 52.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$504SELL No

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

23h agoEntry: 52.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades
$4SELL No

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

23h agoEntry: 52.0¢
antoinelegwrWR: 71%ROI: +3%3508 trades

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