Shark Radar

TonyPowder

SharpModerateActive 3d ago

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+21%

Record

41W / 27L

Win rate vs break-even

60%+1%

Volume

$101.7K

Since we listed them

–

Category

SPORTS
View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-168 resolved, clustered n_eff 25.3
✓D-2last entry 0.1d ago
✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 11d old
✓D-4top gain is 10.4% of gross gains
✓D-568 markets, 52 events, biggest 9.4% of stake
✓D-5b68 resolved positions (cap 1000)
✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED
✓D-70.2% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
✓D-8median stake $842, $100267 deployed in 365d
✓D-9ROI 20.5% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet
✓D-10dead positions net $-1892 against $47651 gross gains
✓D-112.9% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$25REFERRAL_REWARD

1d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗
$1REFERRAL_REWARD

2d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗
$53MAKER_REBATE

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗
$0REDEEM

UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$0REDEEM

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$4.8KREDEEM

Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$7.7KREDEEM

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$1.2KREDEEM

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$1.2KREDEEM

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$374BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 76.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$29BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$448BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$448BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$449BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$448BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$676BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$10BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$37BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$39BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$41BUY Navajo Stirling

UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

3d agoEntry: 73.0¢
TonyPowderWR: 60%ROI: +21%331 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗

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