trulyalya1

SharpModerateActive 2d ago

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+16%

Record

221W / 203L

Win rate vs break-even

52%+2%

Volume

$201.5K

Since we listed them

–

Category

CRYPTO

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1424 resolved, clustered n_eff 122.1

✓D-2last entry 0.7d ago

✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 138d old

✓D-4top gain is 4.3% of gross gains

✓D-5419 markets, 410 events, biggest 5.1% of stake

✓D-5b424 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $200, $196760 deployed in 365d

✓D-9ROI 16.4% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet

✓D-10dead positions net $-29850 against $108217 gross gains

✓D-1112.0% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$776BUY Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?

17h agoEntry: 50.8¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.5KSELL Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?

17h agoEntry: 99.9¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$776BUY Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?

1d agoEntry: 51.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.5KSELL Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?

1d agoEntry: 99.9¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$776BUY Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?

2d agoEntry: 51.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$5.8KSELL Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

2d agoEntry: 99.9¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.9KBUY Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

3d agoEntry: 49.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4TAKER_REBATE

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

$1.6KBUY Down

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?

4d agoEntry: 48.5¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2TAKER_REBATE

5d agoEntry: 0.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

$775BUY Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

5d agoEntry: 52.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.9KSELL Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?

5d agoEntry: 99.9¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4TAKER_REBATE

6d agoEntry: 0.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

$1.6KBUY Up

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?

6d agoEntry: 52.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2TAKER_REBATE

7d agoEntry: 0.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

$777BUY Down

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?

7d agoEntry: 49.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.8KSELL Down

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?

7d agoEntry: 99.9¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4TAKER_REBATE

8d agoEntry: 0.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

$1.5KBUY Down

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?

8d agoEntry: 52.8¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2REDEEM

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

8d agoEntry: 0.0¢

trulyalya1WR: 52%ROI: +16%725 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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