Shark Radar

arzam2004

SharpModerateActive 4d ago

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+24%

Record

37W / 16L

Win rate vs break-even

70%+14%

Volume

$56.1K

Since we listed them

–

Category

SPORTS
View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-153 resolved, clustered n_eff 18.8
✓D-2last entry 0.4d ago
✓D-3101.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 0d old
✓D-4top gain is 14.1% of gross gains
✓D-553 markets, 51 events, biggest 10.5% of stake
✓D-5b53 resolved positions (cap 1000)
✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED
✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
✓D-8median stake $201, $72495 deployed in 365d
✓D-9ROI 23.9%; no out-of-sample record yet
✓D-10dead positions net $-5492 against $40774 gross gains
✓D-1146.9% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$466BUY Yes

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

9h agoEntry: 93.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$99BUY Yes

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

9h agoEntry: 99.2¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$107BUY Yes

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

9h agoEntry: 99.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$185BUY No

Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

9h agoEntry: 92.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$5.2KREDEEM

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners

2d agoEntry: 0.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$3.0KBUY Seattle Mariners

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners

2d agoEntry: 57.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$10.6KREDEEM

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$36MAKER_REBATE

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗
$4.9KBUY Cincinnati Reds

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

4d agoEntry: 46.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$657BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 62.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$318BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 62.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$33BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 62.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$12BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 62.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$19BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 62.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$71BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 60.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$8BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 60.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$2BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 60.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$25BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 60.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$28BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 60.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗
$8BUY Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs

4d agoEntry: 60.0¢
arzam2004WR: 70%ROI: +24%365 trades
Trader ↗Market ↗

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