keribit

Favourite buyerModerateActive today

Buys likely outcomes. High win rate, thin margins.

ROI on money risked

+2%

Record

389W / 99L

Win rate vs break-even

80%-13%

Volume

$1732.4K

Since we listed them

+1%

Category

OTHER

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1488 resolved, clustered n_eff 37.9

✓D-2last entry 0.3d ago

✓D-348.2% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 527d old

✓D-4top gain is 14.5% of gross gains

✓D-5470 markets, 334 events, biggest 5.8% of stake

✓D-5b488 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified FAVOURITE_BUYER

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $3311, $2476110 deployed in 365d

✕D-9ROI 2.1% vs 5.0% floor; 1.1% since listing

✓D-10dead positions net $-169 against $188441 gross gains

✓D-119.3% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$1YIELD

6h agoEntry: 0.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

$3BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

7h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$5BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

8h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

12h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$18BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

13h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$17BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

13h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

13h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

14h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

14h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$50.0KREDEEM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

15h agoEntry: 0.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4.8KBUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

15h agoEntry: 95.2¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4.8KBUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

15h agoEntry: 95.2¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$811SELL No

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

15h agoEntry: 96.2¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$204BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

15h agoEntry: 95.2¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$194BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

15h agoEntry: 95.2¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

16h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$9BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

16h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$7BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

17h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$130SELL No

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

18h agoEntry: 97.2¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4BUY No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

21h agoEntry: 93.0¢

keribitWR: 80%ROI: +2%5190 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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