How they were assessed
Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.
✓D-1126 resolved, clustered n_eff 20.7
✓D-2last entry 6.6d ago
✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 62d old
✓D-4top gain is 12.7% of gross gains
✓D-5126 markets, 110 events, biggest 5.4% of stake
✓D-5b126 resolved positions (cap 1000)
✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED
✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
✓D-8median stake $523, $155089 deployed in 365d
✓D-9ROI 6.3%; no out-of-sample record yet
✓D-10dead positions net $-1853 against $48565 gross gains
✓D-114.8% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume
Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.
$1.0KREDEEM
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
10d agoEntry: 0.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$1TAKER_REBATE
10d agoEntry: 0.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$20BUY St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
10d agoEntry: 51.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$3BUY St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
10d agoEntry: 51.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$514BUY St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
10d agoEntry: 51.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$3TAKER_REBATE
11d agoEntry: 0.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$62BUY Yes
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
11d agoEntry: 4.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$17BUY Yes
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
11d agoEntry: 3.9¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$733BUY Yes
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
11d agoEntry: 7.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$15BUY Yes
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
17d agoEntry: 3.8¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$14SELL Yes
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
17d agoEntry: 3.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$106BUY Yes
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
17d agoEntry: 3.8¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$100SELL Yes
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
17d agoEntry: 3.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$0BUY France
France vs. England: Team to Win
17d agoEntry: 2.5¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$0BUY France
France vs. England: Team to Win
17d agoEntry: 2.5¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$23BUY France
France vs. England: Team to Win
17d agoEntry: 2.5¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$23SELL Yes
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
17d agoEntry: 1.2¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$28BUY France
France vs. England: Team to Win
17d agoEntry: 2.7¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$29SELL Yes
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
17d agoEntry: 3.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades
$28BUY France
France vs. England: Team to Win
17d agoEntry: 57.0¢
chasingdreamsvamosWR: 46%ROI: +6%406 trades