pretzel

Favourite buyerModerateActive 4d ago

Buys likely outcomes. High win rate, thin margins.

ROI on money risked

+1%

Record

119W / 40L

Win rate vs break-even

75%-23%

Volume

$253.3K

Since we listed them

Category

OTHER

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

D-1159 resolved, clustered n_eff 62.6
D-2last entry 0.3d ago
D-354.2% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 221d old
D-4top gain is 29.4% of gross gains
D-5155 markets, 115 events, biggest 2.2% of stake
D-5b159 resolved positions (cap 1000)
D-6classified FAVOURITE_BUYER
D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)
D-8median stake $5008, $1324443 deployed in 365d
D-9ROI 0.6%; no out-of-sample record yet
D-10dead positions net $-559 against $52512 gross gains
D-114.8% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$1BUY Yes

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?

2d agoEntry: 2.0¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$800BUY Yes

Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?

2d agoEntry: 69.8¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$1BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 16.0¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$0BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

4d agoEntry: 0.2¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$2BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

4d agoEntry: 0.2¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$0BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

4d agoEntry: 0.2¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$1BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 16.0¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$35BUY Yes

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?

4d agoEntry: 70.4¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$2.5KBUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 8.3¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$112BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 8.2¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$310BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 8.3¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$38BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 7.9¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$163BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 8.1¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$32BUY Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

4d agoEntry: 8.2¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$67BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

6d agoEntry: 87.3¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$308BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

6d agoEntry: 87.3¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$1BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

6d agoEntry: 87.3¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$0BUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

6d agoEntry: 87.3¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$4.2KBUY Yes

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

6d agoEntry: 86.9¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades
$3REWARD

11d agoEntry: 0.0¢
pretzelWR: 75%ROI: +1%155 trades

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