kevtp

Favourite buyerModerateActive today

Buys likely outcomes. High win rate, thin margins.

ROI on money risked

+2%

Record

252W / 77L

Win rate vs break-even

77%-17%

Volume

$2085.7K

Since we listed them

+1%

Category

OTHER

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1329 resolved, clustered n_eff 30.0

✓D-2last entry -0.0d ago

✓D-3100.0% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 65d old

✓D-4top gain is 6.0% of gross gains

✓D-5322 markets, 185 events, biggest 3.5% of stake

✓D-5b329 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified FAVOURITE_BUYER

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $2189, $2500685 deployed in 365d

✕D-9ROI 2.2% vs 5.0% floor; 1.5% since listing

✓D-10dead positions net $-417 against $96957 gross gains

✓D-1115.0% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$1BUY No

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

46m agoEntry: 94.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$5BUY No

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

1h agoEntry: 94.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2BUY No

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

1h agoEntry: 94.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$6BUY No

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

1h agoEntry: 94.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4.4KBUY No

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

4h agoEntry: 99.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3BUY No

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

4h agoEntry: 94.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$50BUY No

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

5h agoEntry: 99.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3.0KSELL No

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

5h agoEntry: 98.5¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1YIELD

6h agoEntry: 0.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

$2.0KBUY No

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

8h agoEntry: 97.7¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$6SELL No

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

8h agoEntry: 97.7¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3REWARD

9h agoEntry: 0.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

$434SELL No

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

10h agoEntry: 97.7¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1BUY No

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

11h agoEntry: 94.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$7SELL No

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

13h agoEntry: 97.7¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$498BUY No

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

14h agoEntry: 99.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$555SELL No

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

14h agoEntry: 97.7¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$820SELL No

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14h agoEntry: 82.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$78BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

14h agoEntry: 95.4¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.4KSELL No

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

14h agoEntry: 98.0¢

kevtpWR: 77%ROI: +2%6780 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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