krechel202

SharpModerateActive 2d ago

Cleared every disqualifier and matched no exclusionary pattern.

ROI on money risked

+29%

Record

40W / 18L

Win rate vs break-even

69%+11%

Volume

$55.4K

Since we listed them

–

Category

SPORTS

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-158 resolved, clustered n_eff 21.3

✓D-2last entry 0.7d ago

✓D-3102.4% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 272d old

✓D-4top gain is 14.0% of gross gains

✓D-556 markets, 54 events, biggest 8.8% of stake

✓D-5b58 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified UNCLASSIFIED

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $390, $78034 deployed in 365d

✓D-9ROI 29.1% vs 5.0% floor; no out-of-sample record yet

✓D-10dead positions net $-5925 against $46421 gross gains

✓D-1137.7% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Provisional: we have not tracked this trader long enough to have any out-of-sample record yet.

Recent Trades

$6.8KSELL Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

1d agoEntry: 99.9¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0YIELD

1d agoEntry: 0.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

$139SELL Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

1d agoEntry: 99.9¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$100SELL Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

1d agoEntry: 99.9¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$40SELL Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

1d agoEntry: 99.9¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$3SELL Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

1d agoEntry: 99.9¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0YIELD

2d agoEntry: 0.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

$104BUY Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

2d agoEntry: 57.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$130BUY No

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

3d agoEntry: 13.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$70BUY No

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

3d agoEntry: 7.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$99BUY No

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

3d agoEntry: 11.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$100BUY No

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

3d agoEntry: 10.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$0YIELD

3d agoEntry: 0.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

$9.0KREDEEM

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$62MAKER_REBATE

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

$0YIELD

4d agoEntry: 0.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

$4.7KBUY Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

4d agoEntry: 52.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$6BUY Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

4d agoEntry: 54.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$55BUY Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

4d agoEntry: 54.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$14BUY Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

4d agoEntry: 54.0¢

krechel202WR: 69%ROI: +29%182 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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