december

Favourite buyerModerateActive today

Buys likely outcomes. High win rate, thin margins.

ROI on money risked

+1%

Record

142W / 28L

Win rate vs break-even

84%-14%

Volume

$1166.8K

Since we listed them

+3%

Category

OTHER

View on Polymarket ↗

How they were assessed

Every check the model ran, and what it found. A trader who fails one of these is kept in the corpus and off the board.

✓D-1170 resolved, clustered n_eff 73.3

✓D-2last entry 0.2d ago

✓D-390.2% of decayed PnL from last 365d; largest gain 279d old

✓D-4top gain is 12.6% of gross gains

✓D-5170 markets, 137 events, biggest 4.0% of stake

✓D-5b170 resolved positions (cap 1000)

✓D-6classified FAVOURITE_BUYER

✓D-70.0% in sub-minute round trips (partial check — same-wallet only)

✓D-8median stake $9970, $2188119 deployed in 365d

✕D-9ROI 1.3% vs 5.0% floor; 3.0% since listing

✓D-10dead positions net $-4069 against $59576 gross gains

✓D-113.6% of stake in markets under $50,000 volume

Recent Trades

$2.9KBUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

6h agoEntry: 96.1¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.9KBUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

7h agoEntry: 97.2¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$58BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

7h agoEntry: 97.5¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.4KBUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

7h agoEntry: 97.5¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$390BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

7h agoEntry: 97.5¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$39BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

7h agoEntry: 97.5¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$12.8KREDEEM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

15h agoEntry: 0.0¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$4.1KREDEEM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?

2d agoEntry: 0.0¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.3KBUY No

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

2d agoEntry: 91.0¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$486BUY No

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

2d agoEntry: 91.0¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$2.5KBUY No

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

2d agoEntry: 92.0¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$288BUY No

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

2d agoEntry: 92.0¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$1.3KBUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$25BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$97BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$48BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$96BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$20BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$20BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

$170BUY No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

2d agoEntry: 96.6¢

decemberWR: 84%ROI: +1%1908 trades

Trader ↗Market ↗

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